RICS: House prices rising – but at weakest rate in over two years

RICS: House prices rising – but at weakest rate in over two years

House prices in Scotland have continued rising, according to the balance of respondents to the latest Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors (RICS) Residential Market Survey, albeit at a more modest rate than has been seen previously.

A net balance of 12 per cent of surveyors in Scotland report that house prices rose over the past three months, falling from the 37 per cent seen in the survey previous. This is the lowest this balance has been since February 2024. In saying this, Scotland did see the third highest balance across all UK regions after Northern Ireland and the North West. And it was substantially higher than the UK average.

When it comes to buyer demand, a net balance of -17 per cent of respondents in Scotland reported that new buyer enquiries fell through May, which is up from the -38 per cent seen in the April survey, and better than most other UK regions.

When it comes to supply, a net balance of -5 per cent of respondents in Scotland report that instructions to sell declined through May. Whilst this is the third consecutive month this balance is in negative territory, it is up from the net balance of -25 per cent seen in the survey previous.

With demand and new supply subdued, agreed sales were reported to have fallen with a net balance of -16 per cent of surveyors in Scotland reporting a fall in newly agreed sales through May.

Looking ahead, a net balance of five per cent of Scottish respondents expect house prices to rise over the next three months, down slightly from the 10 per cent seen in the April survey. On the sales outlook, a net balance of 11 per cent of surveyors in Scotland anticipated sales will rise over the next three months, which is up slightly from the net balance of six per cent that was seen in the survey prior.

Tarrant Parsons, RICS Head of Market Research and Analysis, said: “The latest survey data suggest the recent downturn in activity may be beginning to stabilise, with several key indicators broadly holding steady. However, as they remain in negative territory, it would be premature to interpret this as the start of a recovery.

“The decline in CPI inflation to 2.8 per cent in April provided some temporary relief, but the Bank of England has signalled that further inflationary pressures are likely as higher energy costs continue to pass through. Against this backdrop, the prospect of further rate rises cannot be dismissed, and until there is greater clarity, market sentiment is likely to remain fragile.”

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